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Dave Concepcion in . . . The Nagging Question
2008-04-10 10:38
Dave Concepcion has a special place in my memory because when I was a kid he once appeared on the cover of Boy’s Life, which my brother had a subscription to as part of his membership in the Cub Scouts. This was for me something like finding some Spiderman comic books or a plate of fudge in the socket aisle at a hardware store. The usual contents in Boy’s Life—fixing stuff, building stuff, lighting fires with no matches, performing resourceful courageous rescues, communing healthily with other young capable outdoorsy boys, cataloguing in a manly scientific way the splendor of nature, helping others, etc.—never interested me, so I was pleased to have something in that corner of my brother’s life that I could relate to. I don’t actually know how much my brother enjoyed the Cub Scouts, and in fact I’m pretty sure he bailed out prematurely, right around puberty, after he’d earned a couple but not all of the hierarchical series of patches. But into adulthood he has retained a level of comfort with the tasks of the outdoorsman that far surpasses my own. He knows how to set up a tent and identify a bird and start a fire, to name but a few of the things that I approach clumsily and stagger from frustrated, my glasses askew. For him the wild is a place to go to shrink the tasks of a difficult everyday world to a manageable level while simultaneously widening a sense of that everyday world beyond the confines of the necessary economic trenches most of us dive down into most of our days. I like going into the woods for the same reasons, but the work that needs to be done there always gives me back a familiar sense of myself as a generally incompetent guy. Given this, it occurs to me to wonder where I go, if not the woods, to give myself a sense of competence. The answer is the same now as it would have been thirty years ago, when I was the kid who got excited to see Dave Concepcion on the cover of Boy’s Life. I liked at that time to get away from the world by going into baseball universes inside my head, and the same is true today. What I’m driving at here is that while I may not know how to fix a flat or gut a fish or understand what an IRA is or ballroom dance or tell a joke or build a table, I am, by god, a pretty good leader of imaginary baseball teams in the online Strat-o-matic baseball leagues with player pools based in—where else?—the 1970s and 1980s. I am no Panzer Ace, mind you. (In case you were wondering, Panzer Ace is the unfortunate moniker of the guy who wins just about every league he enters. If inflection of voice were possible in such areas, he would be spoken of on message boards in hushed tones.) But my teams manage to get into the playoffs more often than not. So what’s my secret, you ask? (I am sure this is the first question that comes to your mind, and not, for example, "Doesn't it ever occur to you that one day you'll be on your deathbed wondering why you spent so many hours worrying about imaginary batting orders?") I’m glad you asked. In two words: Dave Concepcion. Well, not just Dave Concepcion. But in my experience building a team around a great-fielding shortstop and a great-fielding second baseman, especially if either or preferably both of them can also contribute to the offense, is the best way to ensure that your team will be competitive. Centering your team’s defense, they make mediocre pitchers good and good pitchers great by gobbling up everything hit to them. And if they can hit, as Dave Concepcion could (or, in my imaginary worlds, still can), they make it much easier to build a lineup without any holes, other spots on the diamond being much more easy to fill cheaply with effective offensive players. I realize that there is nothing more boring than hearing about someone else’s imaginary sports team, so I understand that I may have killed off most readers willing to start off on the trek of this essay by now. But initially my main goal today, believe it or not, was to give my voice a rest and open up a discussion. It’s just taken me a long time to get to the point I intended to make early on: that according to one of my lone areas of expertise, on-line imaginary baseball, the surest way to build a good team is to start with excellence at shortstop and second base. That said, here’s the question nagging at me today, one which has me leaning toward including in my own answer the player pictured at the top of the page: With peak performance and long-term effectiveness having equal importance, which two players made up the best second base and shortstop combination in baseball history? * * * Also, FYI: There’s an interview with me about baseball cards on ephemera today. The fascinating site, which focuses on various types of collecting, is definitely worth a look.
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I'd also be interested to hear if people think a good 2B-SS combo guarantees a competitive team. Obviously there needs to be other assets on the team, but the pairs that have come to my mind have all been on good to great teams.
3 : Good question. Jeter's much-malinged defense (at least in some quarters) would count against him, but it's hard to argue against that duo as an unrivaled offensive juggernaut.
Schmidt and Bowa were good, better on defense than ARod-Jeter but of course Bowa provides an enormous dropoff on offense.
Reese and Robinson deserve to be in the conversation.
Rosen and Boudreau were excellent for a while.
How about Ernie Banks and Ron Santo? That's some offensive pop for you. Santo was a great fielder, and from what I understand Banks was decent for a while. They get my nod even if it's only for sheer dislike for A-Rod.
Trammell and Whitaker stand out for me because they were so well balanced. Trammell was a much better hitter than Concepcion, and while Whitaker was certainly no Morgan, he was always underrated. I'm not sure there are many other combos where both players were as good as that, and (obviously) not for as long.
They played for one Tigers team that won 104 games and a championship, and another that lost 103 and finished 14 games out of sixth place.
Speaking of Alomar, he and Visquel were a pretty good tandem themselves for a little while.
It's a pretty good bet that (a) is a direct result of (b). Because Reese was a truly fantastic player both offensively and defensively. I think I might go with Reese and Robinson, actually. Jackie's greatness needs no description here, but whenever you can pair him with a guy who received MVP votes in 13 consecutive seasons, you're doing pretty good.
Another possible candidate would be Honus Wagner and Claude Ritchey. Ritchey was just pretty good, not a star, but he comes paired with Honus Freaking Wagner, so the sum of the parts is perhaps greater than any other combo.
But while checking Concepcion's OBP I also see that he was an all-star TEN seasons in a row.
I agree with you on your second point. Honus Wagner teamed up with my sister would still rate some consideration.
At various times Reese ranked among the league leaders in batting average, hits, OBP, runs scored, doubles, triples, walks, and stolen bases. He had a .366 career OBP, which is the fifth-best ever by a shortstop. He also had a Jeteresque presence as the captain of a dynastic team, if you're into that sort of thing.
Tinker-Evers: Deemed overrated by virtue of the famous poem, these two have I think lately garnered more positive consideration in light of the fact that their fielding and hitting numbers were pretty darn good in historical context. I might be wrong about that, though. But my guess is they're the winningest pair.
Collins-Barry: Half of the $100,000 infield, this pair includes in Collins a towering figure on par with Morgan and Wagner
Gehringer-Rogell: Tigers mid-'30s duo might have some of the best offensive numbers of any pair.
Gordon-Rizzuto: Not sure how long they played together, but I think they were together for a decent peak.
If we count just those years where the 2 were teammates:
Jackie and Pee Wee: total WARP3 = 170.7
WARP3/year (10) = 17.1
Whitaker and Trammell: total WARP3 = 274.4*
WARP3/year (19) = 14.4
Morgan and Concepcion: total WARP3 = 149.9
WARP3/year (8) = 18.7
Ritchy and Wagner: total WARP3 = 149.1
WARP3/year (9) = 16.6
So, overall, Lou and Alan get the benefit of longevity (most total WARP3), but thanks to Morgan pairing with Concepcion at the peak of his (Joe's) career, per year that duo rules.
*Freaky fact: despite Alan playing one more year than Lou, they have the exact same career WARP3, 137.7 - thanks to Trammell's goose egg his one year without his keystone partner (1996).
'03: .594
'04: .608
'05: .601
'06: .763
'07: .704
'08: .643
'09: .680
'10: .675
'11: .597
'12: .607
I'll also admit that I got turned against the whole crop of 1940s-50s infielders who were voted into the HOF because they were buddies with the Veterans Committee guys. Everyone got in except Slats Marion, which makes me wonder if he slept with someone's wife.
Ritchey and Wagner played together for four seasons, Wagner and Dots Miller for three (Miller could hit, not a lot of defense though). Reese and Robinson played together five years. Vaughan played most with Pep Young, who wasn't very good. Ripken played mostly with... Ripken (ugh).
If they'd lined up their careers a little better, Bret Boone and Barry Larkin would have been a heckuva combination.
Lazzeri and Crosetti are an excellent combo, all the more so for having played in New York and yet not being well-remembered.
One needs to be careful. Winning games is not "bullshit", romantic or otherwise. Winning games matters. You may legitimately say that a player's contribution to his team's wins (of whatever sort) are larger or smaller, but being a key component of an excellent team is not "bullshit". It's data, and it's evidence, that deserves to be treated as such.
As for Reese, it's quite clear to me that in the decade after the war, he was a legitimate superstar - easily considered one of the eight best players in the National League. (This follows the assumption I have always made that baseball usually has an average of one superstar per team).
http://tinyurl.com/6dn3b8
Also, I think Evers/Maranville should be mentioned for the 1914 'Miracle' Braves. While it was basically one-off because Evers got old, they finished first and second in the voting for the proto-MVP that year. Evers had a good year at the plate (.390 OBP) and he had the "veteran leader" cachet by that point. Maranville hit .246 although his overall offensive numbers aren't that awful in context, especially for an SS. His defense is ridiculous though. He had nearly 200 more chances than anybody else and almost twice as many double plays. That's crazy.
And can you imagine two more mismatched personalities as a DP combo? I wonder how many times Evers tried to strangle Maranville?
I wanted to give a quick shoutout to Doerr/Stephens from those 1940s Sox teams.
But yeah, Reese and Robinson for me, too. Bullshit aside, nobody wanted to win more than Jackie.
44 : I also thought about Stevens-Doerr while scouring my mind for a worthy Bosox combo. They were pretty potent, and Doerr at least was a good fielder. I think Stevens had the reputation for being something of a fire hydrant out there.
Doerr-Pesky might be an even better ticket. Not sure how long they played together exactly, but I think it might have been for more games than Stevens and Doerr.
14: Robinson (4) and Reese (10)
22: Trammel (9) and Whitaker (13)
27: Morgan (1) and Concepcion (26)
28: Aparicio (13) and Fox (15)
53: Myer (24) and Travis (29)
57: Gehringer (8) and Rogell (49)
58: Evers (25) and Tinker (33)
92: Collins (2) and Barry (90)
Gordon (16) and Rizzuto (16) only played together 3 seasons.
Doerr (18) teamed with three ranking shortstops throughout his career: Stephens (22) for three years, Pesky (20) for four years, and Cronin (8) for four years.
As for the list, the leaders didn't play all that much as a DP combo. Robinson was primarily a second baseman for just five seasons, according to bb-ref. Besides them, the only pair on the list that has both members in the Hall of Fame is Fox and Aparicio.
60: Wagner (1) and Ritchie (59)
But then I went back and checked the numbers, and realized that I thought of them so highly simply because (a) they played a bunch of years together and (b) that was right when I was a kid getting into baseball, so my memory has a bias in their favor.
Funny how that can play tricks on you.
James has Lopes ranked as the 23rd best all-time at 2B and Russell as the 69th best SS.
52 : James has Boudreau at 12.
http://tinyurl.com/4c2tju
In Grich and Burleson I had a couple gold glovers to center the defense and also hit (especially Grich).
http://www.truebluela.com/2007/12/31/19214/691
but when I reviewed the box scores I couldnt find one instant where they played the keystone together. That would have been a fun combo if Wynn could have handled SS but alas he became a centerfielder.
Davy Lopes more then held his own but Bill Russel brings down the duo.
The Trammel/Whitaker duo was my favorite
For all around players that tandemed well I'm going to say trammell and Whitaker. They were awesome.
2nd place: aparicio and fox. The only evidence I have is that they're both HOFers and both had a Hartland made for them in the late 50's-early 60's. What other combination can claim that??!!
I still think the Reds duo of the best shortstop of his era and arguably the best second baseman ever has got to be right up there, though.
And I think I might give Fox and Aparicio the bronze ahead of Robinson and Reese for their relative longevity as a tandem.
Many a time his great numbers at ss turned a lunchtime league game my way.
But away from the dice he never had 2B to make a team like Trammell and Whitaker.
In fact, Paula Edelson had Trammell, damn her . . . [insert boring meandering daydream about great strat battles. . . ]
I was looking through the Padres' early seasons on Retrosheet, and it took them almost 15 years to put together what could be considered an average-to-good middle infield (Juan Bonilla, in his rookie year, and Ozzie Smith.)
Some of their early combinations are painful to even think about.
Jose Arcia and Tommy Dean, anyone?
But I guess the best answer to the question would be a Whitaker-Trammell negative, i.e., a pairing that stunk it up together for years. I can't think of anyone who fits that bill offhand, but hopefully someone else can.
Okay, just based on quiet introspection, I'm going to vote for Rafael Ramirez and Glen "mother" Hubbard. I guess I am picking them because in the early to mid 80's, no matter where you lived, the Atlanta Braves were shoved down our collective throats through TBS and we really only got a weekly escape via the game of the week.
They played together from 1980-1987 (as a starting combo mostly from 1981-1986). Ramierz posted a lifetime OPS+ of 77 and Hubbard posted a lifetime OPS+ of 85. While both these numbers are well below "league average" they're actually higher than I would have guessed since both players stunk offensively!
From 1981-86 Hubbard averaged an OPS+ of 85.5, while Raffy averaged averaged a robust 74. Even in their peak years (roughly 1982-1984) neither of them ever cracked 100 (league average) even once. In fact, neither reached league average for a single season ever. That's pretty damn bad.
On the other hand, in 1982 Hubbard (111) and Ramirez (130) were involved in turning more double plays than any other NL combo (Herr at 97 and Ozzie Smith at 101 were second). I don't know much about defense, and errors and assists seem like butter knife analytical tools, but that's a lot of double plays to turn, particularly when compared to Ozzie Smith.
On the basis of turning double plays in one year (yeah I know, sample size), I'd say that Ramirez and Hubbard wouldn't be the worst regular combo, but if it's offense only then who would be worse over a 5 year period?
In a search for a potential answer, I looked up one of my favorite less-remembered horrible teams, the 1982 Cincinnati Reds (61-101.)
And their keystone combo?
Ron Oester and Dave Concepcion.
Second is the 1974 Padres, Enzo Hernandez and Derrel Thomas.
1970 NL Montreal Expos 3 Bobby Wine / Gary Sutherland / Marv Staehle
1980 AL Baltimore Orioles 2 Mark Belanger / Kiko Garcia
1970 NL Philadelphia Phillies 2 Larry Bowa / Denny Doyle
1970 NL St. Louis Cardinals 2 Dal Maxvill / Julian Javier
1965 NL San Francisco Giants 2 Hal Lanier / Dick Schofield
1953 NL Cincinnati Reds 2 Roy McMillan / Rocky Bridges
1949 NL Pittsburgh Pirates 2 Stan Rojek / Monty Basgall
1944 AL Chicago White Sox 2 Roy Schalk / Skeeter Webb
1937 NL Philadelphia Phillies 2 George Scharein / Del Young
1934 AL St. Louis Browns 2 Ski Melillo / Alan Strange
1927 AL St. Louis Browns 2 Wally Gerber / Ski Melillo
The worst combo may be on this list, but it also may not, as a lot of the more recent players (Maxvill, Lanier, McMillan, Belanger, Javier, etc.) had spectacular defensive reputations. I think if you're going to be a contender for worst DP combo of all time, it has to start with bad defense.
Also, Belanger and Kiko were both shortstops, Rich Dauer was the 2nd baseman on that team and he had a 91 OPS+ in 1980. The O's won 98 games that year thanks mostly to their solid pitching and good years from Bumbry, Singleton and Murray.
I don't think Hubbard and Ramirez are a realistic candidate. Hubbard was an absolutely phenomenal defensive second baseman. The reason they played together for that long is because it was believed their defense justified their lack of offense. Maybe it did and maybe it didn't, but I don't think they can be claimed to be the worst
Horace Clarke and Gene Michael.
That was a little before my time, but how good were they?
I know Clarke had a little speed, but I don't remember ever hearing he or Stick spoken of very highly.
DING DING DING we obviously have a new champ until someone can find a starting combo that was worse for 5 or more years. Also, I don't know if Gene and Horace played good defense, but Hub and Raffy did (at least in 1982 they turned the most DPs in the NL).
As far as their defense, all I can offer is that the Strat-O-Matic 1970s online game has both of them listed as 3s with fairly low e-ratings. Not bad, but perhaps not good enough to save them from being dubbed, all things considered (limp offensive skills, cruddy team, longevity), the worst double play combo of all time.
And immediately this thread came to mind, because here's a category where the Big REd Machine has to win hands down: everyday defensive strength up the middle. I haven't done a lick of research, but I expect that Bench, Morgan, Concepcion and Geronimo will be extremely tough to beat.
(Note: From 1974-1977, Bench-Morgan-Concepcion-Geronimo swept all 16 possible Gold Gloves).
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